Today's Numbers - October 28
Because aren't we all, in our own ways, preparing for 2012?:
I'll make this quick, since there's nothing in here that's really concrete. The national trackers took a bit of a dive today, and shook up the confidence of the markets with them (though only to return them to where they were 3 days ago). This could be a bit of a weekend effect (which looks far more ominous than normal this close to election day), or it could be real change. We'll see tomorrow, when Saturday's results drop out of most of the trackers. Til then, not much can be said. Though with 6 days to go, Obama could continue to lose 0.6 points a day (which is highly unlikely) and still win the popular vote by a comfortable margin (3.5 points).
6 days. Wow. Less than 168 hours from now, barring a 2004-Florida-style fiasco, we'll know the next president. Break out the champagne and Xanax.
Just a heads-up: this weekend, I'm hoping to post numbers both days for once (assuming polls are as voluminous as they should be), and to also leave you with a "What to watch for" election night prep guide. Based on the predictions across the country, it will let you know definitively when you can start celebrating (or mourning) your candidate's victory (or defeat). The networks are still paranoid about declaring a winner too early after 2000, but using the wonders of mathematics, I'll show you what constitutes a win and a loss for each candidate. Stay tuned.
I'll make this quick, since there's nothing in here that's really concrete. The national trackers took a bit of a dive today, and shook up the confidence of the markets with them (though only to return them to where they were 3 days ago). This could be a bit of a weekend effect (which looks far more ominous than normal this close to election day), or it could be real change. We'll see tomorrow, when Saturday's results drop out of most of the trackers. Til then, not much can be said. Though with 6 days to go, Obama could continue to lose 0.6 points a day (which is highly unlikely) and still win the popular vote by a comfortable margin (3.5 points).
6 days. Wow. Less than 168 hours from now, barring a 2004-Florida-style fiasco, we'll know the next president. Break out the champagne and Xanax.
Just a heads-up: this weekend, I'm hoping to post numbers both days for once (assuming polls are as voluminous as they should be), and to also leave you with a "What to watch for" election night prep guide. Based on the predictions across the country, it will let you know definitively when you can start celebrating (or mourning) your candidate's victory (or defeat). The networks are still paranoid about declaring a winner too early after 2000, but using the wonders of mathematics, I'll show you what constitutes a win and a loss for each candidate. Stay tuned.
posted by Andrew at
1:41 AM
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